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Fergus County · Montana County Report

Fergus County, Montana

Central Montana · Lewistown · Judith River drainage · 100 mi south of Great Falls on US-87

Use this page to:
  • Check current snowpack, drought, streamflow, and soil moisture before stocking, hay buying, or destocking.
  • See where Fergus County calves moved in 2023 — destinations, seasonal pattern, and shipping windows.
  • Look up water rights, parcels, and ownership via Cadastral, DNRC WRQS, and WaterMapper.
  • Reach the District 3 brand inspector and verify cattle-buyer bonds before consigning.
Dashboard refreshes daily at 5:30 AM Mountain
Hay & Pasture — Greenness Now Greenness: High · 95th percentile vs local normalA current satellite greenness read (last 16 days) of this county’s managed hay & pasture ground (NLCD class 81), versus its own history. It can run ahead of or behind snowpack and streamflow — read it alongside those tiles, not instead of them. Updated weekly.
How often this updates. The moisture and drought tiles below — snowpack, streamflow, soil moisture, rain, water-year precipitation, and drought class — refresh every morning. The Forage Condition score’s satellite vegetation read, and the separate Hay & Pasture read, refresh weekly (Mondays), because the underlying satellite imagery (RAP herbaceous biomass and MODIS NDVI; until the current season’s RAP publishes, a soil-moisture proxy stands in for the vegetation input) only updates on a roughly 16-day cycle. So the water and drought tiles move day to day, while the vegetation and hay-pasture reads step forward about once a week — a dry spell shows in the moisture tiles within a day, but takes a week or two to register in observed greenness.
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Snowpack · SWE

1.00in SWE

Snow Water Equivalent — water that would result if today’s snowpack melted now.

7-day trend ↓
% of 1991–2020 median: 62%
☂

Water-Year Precip

3.70in since Oct 1

Total precipitation since Oct 1 — the start of the NRCS water year.

% of 1991–2020 median for this date: 92%
☼

Drought Monitor

D0abnormally dry

Worst drought class anywhere in the county per the U.S. Drought Monitor.

D0 1%D1 0%D2 0%D3 0%D4 0%

D0 abnormally dry · D1 moderate · D2 severe · D3 extreme · D4 exceptional. Percentages = share of county area at or worse than each class.

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Streamflow

147cfs

Cubic feet per second flowing past the nearest in-county USGS gauge right now.

Big Spring Creek at Lewistown
Day-of-year percentile: 20 (50 = typical for this date; 0 = lowest ever; 100 = highest ever)
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Soil Moisture

30.2% shallow VWC
Adequate for the growing season

VWC = Volumetric Water Content — the percent of soil volume that is water. Montana Mesonet probe average.

30.2%
29.1%

Shallow ≈ 4″ depth · Deep ≈ 20″ depth.
Bands (shallow + deep average): ≥ 30 % moist · 22–30 % adequate · 15–22 % drying · < 15 % dry.

Stations: 4
Δ

Precip Anomaly

+1.43″12-mo vs normal
Wet year for the rolling 12-month window

Inches above (+) or below (−) the 1901–2000 average for the latest completed 1-, 3- and 12-month periods (NOAA NCEI, monthly data) — not the water year (see the separate Water-Year Precip tile for that).

+0.57″
+0.4″
+1.43″

1-mo = last 30 days · 3-mo = last 90 days · 12-mo = trailing year.
12-mo bands: > +1″ wet · −0.5″ to +1″ near normal · −2″ to −0.5″ dry · < −2″ very dry.

Reading this dashboard — what these terms mean

Median vs. mean. We use the median (NRCS standard) so a single very-wet or very-dry year doesn’t skew the baseline.

Water year. Hydrology runs Oct 1 → Sep 30. Most of a year’s snowpack accumulation is captured in the same season it melts.

Percentile (streamflow). 50 = exactly typical for this calendar date. 19 = today’s flow is lower than 81 % of all readings ever recorded on this date. 81 = lower than only 19 %.

VWC (soil moisture). Volumetric Water Content. Rough field bands: under 10 % = dry, 15–25 % = productive growing-season range, over 35 % = saturated.

Drought scale. D0–D4 from the U.S. Drought Monitor, weekly Thursday release. The percentages tell you what fraction of county area is at or worse than each band — a county can be 100 % at D2 with 0 % at D3.

Precip anomaly. Inches above or below the 1901–2000 average for the latest completed 1-, 3- and 12-month periods (NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, monthly data). Not the water year — the Water-Year Precip tile is the water-year measure. Anomaly is in inches; “% of median” is a ratio. Both useful; anomaly is easier to interpret when comparing a dry summer month to a wet spring month.

Forage Condition. A 0–100 county-scale index of rangeland forage conditions relative to this county’s own historical normal, blending satellite-observed vegetation response, growing-season moisture, drought stress, and usability. Higher = more favorable relative to local normal. Categories: 0–25 Poor, 26–50 Fair, 51–75 Good, 76–100 Excellent. Long-Term Forage Potential is a separate long-run rating, not part of the score. Beta — for regional screening and comparison, not a pasture-level forage inventory or stocking-rate recommendation.

How often this updates. The moisture and drought tiles (snowpack, streamflow, soil moisture, rain, water-year precip, drought class) refresh every morning. The Forage Condition score’s satellite vegetation read — and the separate Hay & Pasture read — refresh weekly (Mondays), because the underlying satellite imagery only updates on a ~16-day cycle. So the water tiles move day to day; the vegetation reads step forward about once a week.

Snowpack & Moisture Detail

SNOTEL station-by-station read for Fergus County. The dashboard above gives current aggregate; this section shows where the water actually is.

Fergus County snowpack is sharply split — high-elevation stations holding, lower drainages below median at the last spring reading (June 4, 2026). Snowpack has since melted out for the season, so this section shows how the 2026 snow season ended, not current conditions. One SNOTEL station monitors county snowpack. Fergus County watershed snowpack well below normal (Crystal Lake 59% of median).

StationElev (ft)SWE (in)% of MedianRelevance
Crystal Lake6,1300.059%Fergus County — elevation 6130 ft

Basin Index: Fergus County watershed snowpack well below normal (Crystal Lake 59% of median). Drought Monitor (valid 2026-11-10): No drought (D1+) in the county. Coverage at or worse than each class: D0 0.6%, D1 0%, D2 0%, D3 0%, D4 0%. Station snapshot as of November 13, 2026 — live dashboard above is current.

Rancher implication. As of November 13, 2026: Fergus County is abnormally dry (D0 0.6%) but not in drought; the past two weeks of rainfall ran near normal (90%) and the next two are forecast well above normal (137%), supporting soil-moisture recharge and summer forage. Operations dependent on junior water rights should watch DNRC curtailment notices. Private treaty cattle buyers are active in this region through fall; current range conditions will factor into negotiated price slides.

Two-Week Rainfall

Observed (prior 14 days) and forecast (next 14 days) · Fergus County · as of 2026-11-13

PeriodWindowRain (in)Normal (in)% of Normal
Prior 2 weeks (observed)Oct 30 – Nov 12, 20260.570.6390%
Next 2 weeks (forecast)Nov 13 – Nov 26, 20260.630.46137%

Observed detail: 2 measurable-rain day(s) in the prior two weeks; largest single day 0.40 in.

Forecast source: NWS/NOAA api.weather.gov (days 1–7) blended with Open-Meteo gridded model (days 8–14). The next-14-day total is model-derived — NOAA quantitative precipitation forecast is precise only through ~7 days, and days 8–14 are a model blend, not an observed gauge reading.

What this means. “Percent of normal” compares actual rain to the 30-year (1991–2020) average for the same calendar dates: 100% is a typical year, below 100% is drier than usual, above is wetter. Here, the past two weeks delivered 0.57 in of rain — 90% of the 0.63 in normally expected for this window, i.e. near normal; the next two weeks are forecast at 0.63 in (137% of normal, above normal), offering a realistic chance of soil-moisture recharge.

Moisture Outlook: 1, 3, 6 and 12 Months

Expected precipitation against the 1991–2020 normal · Fergus County · NOAA seasonal outlook issued Oct 15, 2026; monthly outlook Oct 31, 2026 · refreshed monthly

HorizonWindowNormal (in)Expected (in)% of NormalLeanConfidence
1 monthNovember 20260.700.6796%Slight dry leanModerate
3 monthsNov 2026–Jan 20271.901.7391%Leans dryLow to moderate
6 monthsNov 2026–Apr 20275.024.7995%Slight dry leanLow
12 monthsNov 2026–Oct 202717.0116.2095%Slight dry leanVery low
  • Odds, November 2026: 36% chance of a drier-than-normal month, 34% near normal, 30% wetter.
  • Odds, Nov 2026–Jan 2027: 45% drier than normal, 33% near normal, 22% wetter.
  • Temperature: November 2026 leans warmer than normal (55% chance of a warmer-than-normal month); Nov 2026–Jan 2027 leans warmer than normal (45% chance of a warmer-than-normal three months). Warmer weather pulls more moisture out of soil and snowpack.
  • Spring growing season (Apr–Jun 2027): these three months normally bring 7.90 in, about 46% of the year’s moisture. NOAA’s early read: 45% drier, 33% near normal, 22% wetter — expected 7.40 in (94% of normal).
What this means. An outlook is a tilt in the odds, not a promise. For Nov 2026–Jan 2027, NOAA’s outlook trims about 0.17 in from the 1.90 in Fergus County normally receives — small next to the roughly 1.5 in gap between a typical dry and a typical wet three-month stretch here. Over the full 12 months the county is expected to receive 16.2 in against a normal of 17.0 in (95%). Treat the 1- and 3-month rows as usable guidance and the 6- and 12-month rows as a planning baseline that mostly reflects normal weather.

How it is built: NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlook odds read across Fergus County, applied to the county’s 1991–2020 precipitation record (NOAA NCEI). Inches are county-wide averages that include mountain ground, so valley and bench ranches usually receive less; the percent of normal carries over better than the inches. Full method and limits → Prepared by Dirk Adams with the assistance of AI.

Water Rights, Irrigation & Land Ownership

The Judith River rises in the Little Belt Mountains near Utica and flows northeast through Lewistown before joining the Missouri River in Petroleum County. Key confluences include Warm Spring Creek and McDonald Creek above Lewistown.

The Judith River system supports irrigation for hay and small grain production in the Lewistown valley and limited stock water diversions across the benchlands. Senior water rights on the Judith date to the 1880s–1890s homestead era, with many priority dates in the 1900–1915 range for smaller ditches. The lower Judith can be over-appropriated in dry years, particularly below Lewistown where late-priority holders may be shut down by August. Spring-fed creeks in the Judith Mountains provide reliable secondary stock water for operators in the uplands. The county has modest adjudicated surface rights; most ranch operations supplement with developed springs and stock reservoirs.

Federal Grazing Leases

BLM and U.S. Forest Service permitted grazing on public-land allotments · Fergus County

SystemAllotmentsPermitted usePublic acres
BLM27151,161 AUMs340,755
U.S. Forest Service176,451 head-months52,215

AUMs (BLM) and head-months (USFS) are both animal-unit-months — one animal grazing for one month, the standard measure of authorized use. Acres are BLM public acres and USFS GIS acres on the mapped allotments.

Statewide maps: BLM allotment map · Forest Service allotment map. Excludes Montana DNRC state-trust grazing leases.

Land Resources

Three independent estimates of how Fergus County’s land is used — shown side by side, never blended

Every acreage figure below comes from an independent source that measures the land a different way. We show them side by side — and never blend reported acreage, satellite pixels and tax classifications into one unexplained number. Total county area 2,777,171 acres · land in farms 2,315,398 acres (83% of the county).

🗺  Open the interactive land map for Fergus County →
See crops, range, irrigated fields, public land and ownership parcels drawn live on the map.

Principal crops — official vs. satellite

CropUSDA Census 2022
(acres harvested)
Satellite CDL 2023
(acres present)
Winter wheat135,622139,066
Spring wheat43,90237,449
Durum wheat1,145176
Barley36,07358,692
Oats1,394883
Corn1,500536
Alfalfa hay167,927312,437
Other hay30,06282,210
Dry peas3,4652,237
Lentils4,3414,034
Chickpeas4901,859
Safflower1,585890
Canola2,9851,396
Flaxseedwithheld2,038
Sorghumwithheld948

These columns measure different things, so they should not match. The Census counts acres actually harvested in the census year, as reported by producers; the Cropland Data Layer counts every acre the satellite saw in that crop, including fields in a crop–fallow rotation and stands not harvested. Winter wheat is the clearest example: much of the county’s wheat ground sits in fallow in any given year, so the satellite total runs well above harvested acres. CDL also over-attributes hay and forage on native range. “Withheld” means the Census suppressed the value to protect an individual operation’s privacy.

How the county’s acres classify

Land classUSDA Census 2022Satellite CDL 2023DOR assessment 2026
Cropland (total)614,375667,609541,554
  of which harvested433,822——
Irrigated land20,032—12,085
Pasture & rangeland1,592,0811,649,8701,363,119
Forest / woodland83,934386,388245,385
Developed—24,325—
Water & wetlands—55,260—

Three ways of counting the same ground. Census figures are producer-reported acres in farms; the satellite column is a wall-to-wall pixel classification of the whole county (so it also sees developed land, water and non-farm ground the others do not); the assessment column is the Montana Department of Revenue’s parcel-level tax classification (CAMA), which is why its cropland total tracks the Census closely while the satellite tends to run higher. Developed and open-water rows come only from the satellite. Where they disagree, no single number is “wrong” — they are measuring different things.

Irrigated land, three independent ways

20,032
USDA Census
harvested irrigated cropland, 2022
—
DNRC mapped
remote-sensed irrigated extent
12,085
DOR assessed
tax classification, 2026

The single most important acreage figure for a cattle operation, and the three sources genuinely differ. The Census counts acres actually irrigated and harvested in the census year; the Montana DOR figure is what is classified and taxed as irrigated; the DNRC mapping captures the full remote-sensed irrigated extent, including ground that carries irrigation but was idle or in another use that year — so it usually reads highest. We publish all three rather than pick one.

What each estimate means

  • USDA Census of Agriculture — producer-reported, the official record. Highly credible, but taken every five years and suppressed in counties where a value would identify a single operation.
  • Satellite (Cropland Data Layer) — USDA’s annual, wall-to-wall satellite classification. Complete county coverage every year, but it infers crops from imagery, so it mislabels some ground and over-calls hay and forage on native range.
  • Tax / assessment — Montana Department of Revenue parcel-level classification from the CAMA assessment roll (2026 tax year), aggregated from the Montana State Library cadastral. Parcel- and ownership-based; a land classification, not an annual crop report.

Sources: USDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022 (Quick Stats); USDA Cropland Data Layer 2023 (CropScape zonal statistics, USDA-NASS); Montana Department of Revenue CAMA assessment acreage via the MSDI cadastral parcels layer (tax year 2026); Montana DNRC Statewide Irrigation dataset. Prepared by Dirk Adams with the assistance of AI.

Local Help

Verified contacts and official destinations for Fergus County — not a directory dump, just where to actually call

Local education
MSU Extension · Fergus County
Agriculture, natural-resource and 4-H programs, plus hay- and soil-testing guidance.
Open office page →
Conservation
USDA Service Center
The NRCS and FSA offices serving Fergus County — conservation programs and farm loans.
Official USDA locator →
Water rights
DNRC Lewistown Regional Office
Permits, changes, ownership updates and water-right questions for this county.
406-538-7459
DNRC water resources →
Cattle market
Montana Livestock Markets
Licensed auction markets, sale schedules and posted market reports statewide.
State market listing →
Brand inspection
Montana Brands Enforcement
Brand records, inspection districts and livestock-movement rules.
Dept. of Livestock →
Diagnostics
Schutter Diagnostic Lab
Plant, weed, insect and crop-disease diagnosis (MSU).
406-994-5150
Animal disease → MT Veterinary Diagnostic Lab
Lab guidance →

Extension, USDA, market, brand and diagnostic links go to the official Montana source; the DNRC office and phone are the specific regional office serving this county. Provider directories (veterinarians, feed dealers) will be added only once a repeatable verification standard is in place. Prepared by Dirk Adams with the assistance of AI.

Production & Sales

Operation character, hay base, and how cattle reach market from Fergus County.

Cattle production

Fergus County is one of central Montana’s core cow-calf counties, with the Lewistown area supporting a mix of commercial Angus and Hereford herds alongside retained-ownership stocker operations. Backgrounding calves on native range through fall is common before selling at Lewistown or trucking to Billings. Several operations hold USFS grazing allotments in the Judith and Little Belt Mountains under the Lewis and Clark National Forest, moving cattle to summer range in late May or early June. Ranch sizes run large — 3,000 to 8,000 deeded acres with comparable lease ground is typical for a mid-scale family operation.

Hay & winter feed

Flood-irrigated grass hay and alfalfa-grass mix dominate the Judith River valley floor, with most first cutting coming off in mid-July. Irrigation water comes from Judith River diversions under senior priority rights held by the valley’s established ranches. Dry-land hay on the benchlands is common but yields are highly variable and frost risk extends into late May. Current year prospects depend on spring soil recharge and Judith River runoff timing.

Logistics · sale barns & trucking

Lewistown Livestock Auction on US-87 is the primary local sale point, drawing buyers from across central Montana. US-87 connects north to Great Falls (100 miles) and south to Billings (130 miles), providing reasonable trucking access to both. The Central Montana Railroad historically served grain shippers but truck is now the primary livestock move. Mountain passes on US-191 to the south add seasonal weather risk for fall shipping runs.

Licensed Processing Plants

1 federally inspected and 1 state-inspected plants operating in Fergus County — establishment IDs and contacts, verified against the federal and state directories

Federally inspected · USDA FSIS
Big Sky Processing, LLC
Est. M46090
181 Cut Above Loop, Moore, MT 59464
(406) 220-3329
Slaughter + processing
State inspected · MT Dept. of Livestock
Elk Country Meats, LLC
Est. 020 · License 3K4Q
46 Rockford Rd., Moore, MT 59464
(406) 333-6328
Slaughter + processing

Meat from federally inspected and state-inspected plants can be sold; custom-exempt plants are not listed here. Verified August 2026 against the USDA FSIS Meat, Poultry & Egg Product Inspection Directory and the Montana Department of Livestock state plant list (Jan 2026). Grants of inspection change — call before you haul.

Fergus County — 2023 Cattle Movement

Source: Montana Department of Livestock, BE-10 brand inspections. Released to Honest Cattle under public-records request. BE-10 inspections are recorded at change of ownership or interstate movement, so totals reflect transactions, not the standing herd.

Total head inspected
53,918
Stayed in Montana
19,593 (36.3%)
Shipped out of state
34,325 (63.7%)
Peak shipping month
October (29,024)

Top destinations outside Montana

StateHeadShare of county total
Nebraska11,35021.1%
Iowa5,40510%
South Dakota5,0409.3%
Washington3,2676.1%
Colorado3,1405.8%

When Fergus County cattle moved in 2023

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Notes: A single animal can be inspected more than once in a year if it changes hands or moves across state lines twice; destination is the buyer's state of record, which is usually but not always the final feedlot. Inspection county = where the inspection took place (often an auction yard or shipping point), not necessarily where the cattle were raised. Data covers cattle only (BE-10) and excludes horse and bison inspections.

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